PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hackl

0xd62275e7209b9b613289db905e5229204194defc

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$596.7k
Markets traded
641
Open portfolio
$721.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded641
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6400.920$655.04+$199.36
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.075$42.52$42.52
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.145$11.51+$1.19
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3100.725$3.63+$2.08
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · Yes0.4500.130$2.47$6.09
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? · No0.8780.979$1.96+$0.20
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes0.2800.285$1.14+$0.02
Another Elon baby by June 30? · No0.8201.000$1.00+$0.18
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.8960.706$0.71$0.19
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.4700.105$0.63$2.19
Deel IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3800.045$0.49$3.69
Over $200B wagered on US sports betting in 2026? · Yes0.4200.185$0.18$0.23
Anduril IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2700.045$0.04$0.23
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$73.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 03:42Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?SELL0.22$186.12
04-21 03:41Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?SELL0.22$9.02
04-21 03:08Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?SELL0.962$366.52
04-21 03:08Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.22$111.98
04-13 16:52Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?SELL0.24$9.60
04-13 16:51Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?SELL0.23$9.20
04-13 16:10Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026SELL0.76$291.08
04-13 16:09Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026SELL0.76$617.88
04-13 09:54Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?SELL0.87$200.97
04-13 09:15Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?SELL0.56$236.32
04-13 09:14Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?SELL0.56$434.56
04-13 08:22Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?BUY0.87$200.97
04-13 08:16Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?BUY0.79$946.42
04-13 08:02Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026BUY0.81$968.76
04-13 06:53Clemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina CatamountsBUY0.48$258.24