0xd61efcbde130f8a4669c8b59e921896213bf051e
0xd61efcbde130f8a4669c8b59e921896213bf051e
- Realised P&L
- $7.99
- Volume
- $547.38
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $0.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 29? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.015 | $0.82 | −$1.06 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$8.44 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.94 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.36at 0.164Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23?
- +$-1.83at 0.015Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.0334269412 | $1.88 |
| 09-27 16:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.89 |
| 09-27 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.89 |
| 09-27 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.0932087916 | $4.72 |
| 09-27 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.1637333333 | $2.58 |
| 09-26 16:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.89 |
| 09-26 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.89 |
| 09-23 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.807498601 | $14.43 |
| 09-22 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.1572027972 | $2.81 |
| 09-22 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.13 |
| 09-21 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.86 |