0xd61508b9845502bd79842b2b7877811fa6a9ae32
- Realised P&L
- $-7.8k
- Volume
- $622.4k
- Markets traded
- 7,855
- Open portfolio
- $241.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,855
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cap reach $0.04 before 2027? · Yes | 0.959 | 1.000 | $83.01 | +$3.36 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 8? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $29.98 | +$0.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or below on August 8? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $29.98 | +$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $19.98 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.999 | $19.97 | +$0.01 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.999 | $18.78 | +$0.02 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 8? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on August 7? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 8? · No | 0.985 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.14 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 8? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$506.35at 0.325Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
- +$386.75at 0.655Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
- +$363.53at 0.556Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
- +$360.79at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
- +$346.49at 0.446Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 04:03 | Will Solana reach $75 on August 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-08 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.997806 | $9.98 |
| 08-08 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 08-08 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 08-07 17:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.44 |
| 08-07 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.95 |
| 08-07 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 08-07 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 08-07 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 08-07 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 08-07 08:53 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 08-07 08:53 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 08-07 08:53 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 08-07 01:34 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 08-07 01:34 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |