0xd61508b9845502bd79842b2b7877811fa6a9ae32
0xd61508b9845502bd79842b2b7877811fa6a9ae32
- Realised P&L
- $-21.0k
- Volume
- $780.0k
- Markets traded
- 9,020
- Open portfolio
- $1.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,020
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will White House post 200+ posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.12 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$502.27at 0.327Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
- +$385.94at 0.656Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
- +$361.88at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
- +$360.26at 0.387Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
- +$342.16at 0.449Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 17:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | BUY | 0.9988340625 | $6.6k |
| 10-02 13:30 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 in October? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 10-01 18:30 | Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.86 |
| 10-01 17:20 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $881.11 |
| 10-01 13:30 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $760 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-01 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-01 07:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-01 07:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-01 07:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-01 07:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-01 07:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 10-01 07:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 10-01 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-30 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 09-30 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.906 | $4.53 |