sweetbox
0xd610b3541f79c1a58b0481f04911d78fa747a87f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $49.2k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $839.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October? · No | 0.264 | 0.245 | $220.74 | −$17.40 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? · No | 0.572 | 0.545 | $190.47 | −$9.53 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October? · Yes | 0.604 | 0.635 | $105.09 | +$5.09 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · Yes | 0.642 | 0.645 | $100.42 | +$0.42 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.415 | $98.81 | −$1.19 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.450 | $78.75 | +$15.75 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October? · No | 0.520 | 0.510 | $32.37 | −$0.63 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.049 | $12.55 | −$9.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$183.18at 0.490Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
- +$137.68at 0.304Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$105.02at 0.184Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
- +$24.77at 0.801Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
- +$-3.32at 0.395Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 10:54 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October? | BUY | 0.5199999956 | $33.00 |
| 10-01 10:53 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October? | BUY | 0.2698976827 | $218.15 |
| 10-01 10:44 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October? | BUY | 0.2156862739 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 10:43 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October? | BUY | 0.604259533 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 10:43 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October? | BUY | 0.36 | $63.00 |
| 10-01 10:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.5697151417 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 10:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.6422924888 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 10:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BUY | 0.4199999984 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 10:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.5748265593 | $100.00 |
| 09-30 22:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.33 | $534.35 |
| 09-21 21:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.175956355 | $10.50 |
| 09-21 21:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.16 | $11.04 |
| 09-21 21:17 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | SELL | 0.36 | $19.52 |
| 09-21 02:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5399999989 | $87.30 |
| 09-19 13:09 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.5199999999 | $300.00 |