LuckyOtter
0xd60e672f0a73414fd258e1e946033e8f5adf3f84
- Realised P&L
- $-93.42
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $1.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.022 | $1.60 | −$7.63 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 10? · Yes | 0.281 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.03 |
| Will JD Vance attend NATO Summit? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.36 |
| NBA Finals: Timothee Chalamet to attend all Knicks Home Games? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.51 |
| Critical Discord Incident by June 30? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.86at 0.872Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$13.19at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$12.57at 0.767Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$10.96at 0.969Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$10.20at 0.689Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 18:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 10? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 08-10 18:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 10? | BUY | 0.2629998745 | $1.32 |
| 08-10 18:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 10? | BUY | 0.296 | $1.48 |
| 08-10 18:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 10? | BUY | 0.296 | $1.48 |
| 08-10 18:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 10? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 05-29 13:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 05-29 13:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 05-29 13:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 05-29 13:31 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 29? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 05-29 13:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 05-29 05:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 03:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 05-29 03:09 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 05-29 03:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 05-29 02:55 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 29? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |