kathleen36
0xd60de5e9df1cde7dd905590f9558e2dc8cca8486
- Realised P&L
- $12.65
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $84.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.970 | $37.63 | +$13.58 |
| Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.490 | $31.55 | −$14.17 |
| Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD? · CDU | 0.830 | 0.670 | $15.41 | −$3.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.29at 0.310Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
- +$7.46at 0.719Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$2.81at 0.730Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?
- +$2.57at 0.751Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$2.51at 0.999Will Xi visit the US before May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:48 | Will Solana dip to $90 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.25 |
| 01-30 16:29 | Will Opendoor reach $9.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.09 |
| 01-30 15:15 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.33 |
| 01-30 14:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.98 |
| 01-30 12:46 | Will Opendoor dip to $1.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.99 |
| 12-30 10:54 | Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999071 | $6.40 |
| 12-30 10:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999588 | $19.51 |
| 12-29 22:27 | Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.96 |
| 12-29 18:51 | Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.54 |
| 10-31 01:08 | Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.71 |
| 10-30 23:42 | Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.94 |
| 10-30 20:30 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.13 |
| 09-29 17:46 | Lisa Cook arrested by September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999803 | $18.87 |
| 09-29 03:30 | Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $12.50 |
| 09-28 20:45 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.64 |