PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

geime

0xd5fe247c00309838c60c0a0df538e117d8ee95da

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$59.2k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$562.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5000.895$393.35+$173.60
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0780.065$123.27$24.78
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5000.105$46.15$173.60
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.8150.000$0.00$493.86
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? · No0.8600.000$0.00$1.5k
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1020.000$0.00$118.42
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$13.50
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? · No0.1360.000$0.00$64.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 00:37Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?BUY0.0780652781$148.05
07-08 06:22Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.815$493.86
07-05 18:17Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?BUY0.003$13.50
06-18 01:38Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8719999998$515.97
06-18 01:34Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
06-18 01:31Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1357066804$63.22
06-17 06:51Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.102$118.42
05-22 11:18Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?BUY0.972$496.14
05-21 22:06Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.73$334.57
04-10 06:56Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.9444577014$534.84
04-10 06:50Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.79$534.70
04-04 16:41Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.8599999998$2.1k
03-20 02:55Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.8214199674$330.29
03-19 14:23Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.7379971065$290.76
03-11 13:49Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?BUY0.94$442.53