MalloryReyes2664
0xd5fa614088bbd1f7bcc452e5d06193764548f3f8
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $379.1k
- Markets traded
- 472
- Open portfolio
- $805.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded472
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$165.25at 0.750Will Melania say "First Lady" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?
- +$147.26at 0.410Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 100k and 125k?
- +$142.88at 0.060Will Brandon Steven be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?
- +$132.50at 0.220Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?
- +$120.64at 0.120Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 08:23 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.54 | $121.50 |
| 04-11 08:22 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.53 | $521.52 |
| 04-10 13:47 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.54 | $652.86 |
| 04-09 09:41 | Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30? | SELL | 0.73 | $653.35 |
| 04-08 14:04 | Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $662.30 |
| 03-24 13:59 | Will Melania say "First Lady" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24? | BUY | 0.75 | $495.75 |
| 03-24 07:23 | Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | SELL | 0.51 | $117.81 |
| 03-23 21:23 | Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | BUY | 0.51 | $117.81 |
| 03-23 18:35 | Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-24? | BUY | 0.88 | $135.52 |
| 03-21 17:47 | Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | SELL | 0.83 | $253.98 |
| 03-20 15:32 | Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | BUY | 0.82 | $250.92 |
| 03-18 17:10 | US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $71.71 |
| 03-18 17:09 | US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $80.94 |
| 03-18 17:07 | US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $84.49 |
| 03-18 17:05 | US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $12.78 |