0xd5f781188b5415a4fab5a2eb1ae8b284b17b666a
0xd5f781188b5415a4fab5a2eb1ae8b284b17b666a
- Realised P&L
- $-5.44
- Volume
- $43.51
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $5.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $487.50 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.380 | 0.685 | $1.80 | +$0.80 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.705 | $1.68 | +$0.68 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.640 | 0.984 | $1.54 | +$0.54 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.038 | $0.10 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.77at 0.570Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.68at 0.600Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?
- +$0.47at 0.680US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$0.37at 0.730US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?
- +$0.29at 0.777Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 07:11 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:15 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $487.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:11 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 06:11 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:10 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:09 | Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:56 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:55 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 06:48 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 22:48 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 22:36 | Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 13:34 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.819 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 03:08 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 17:05 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 09:02 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |