PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

urkone

0xd5f1ecfebe99d1fcf85c284b497cf57cb33d38b4

Realised P&L
$-16.26
Volume
$149.7k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$610.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9360.963$245.44+$6.76
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8600.945$189.00+$17.00
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes0.7890.775$125.13$2.16
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.9470.983$51.09+$1.85
Will CF Monterrey win the FIFA Club World Cup? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$23.50
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$13.79
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$20.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 02:41Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?BUY0.7888593121$127.28
06-13 12:10Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?BUY0.96$43.30
06-13 12:10Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.995$109.45
06-13 12:09Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.979$107.69
06-13 12:08Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?SELL0.997$50.85
06-13 12:08Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.947$49.24
05-22 13:54Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.936$238.68
05-22 13:53Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?BUY0.984$50.18
05-22 13:52Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.006$69.73
04-14 08:42Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.004$39.52
03-26 13:13Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.953$104.83
03-26 13:12Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.0025042792$20.68
03-26 13:12Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?SELL0.998$118.40
02-27 13:59Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.002$13.79
02-27 13:58Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.003$0.34