PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd5e91686c8f9177595615ca5d51c40e15492ec6a

Realised P&L
$-860.12
Volume
$37.8k
Markets traded
808
Open portfolio
$33.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded808
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.7200.825$11.46+$1.46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.8000.895$11.19+$1.19
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0200.019$9.75$0.25
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? · Yes0.1100.095$0.95$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 16? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Down0.2100.000$0.00$0.83
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 18? · Yes0.5310.000$0.00$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Down0.0790.000$0.00$15.00
Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00$101.10
XRP Up or Down - July 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Down0.1340.000$0.00$0.91
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier · Alliance0.6400.000$0.00$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:09Riley Greene: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.2$5.00
09-17 16:09Mike Trout: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.1699999983$5.00
09-17 16:09Willson Contreras: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.1899999962$5.00
08-31 11:25Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
08-31 11:25US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8$10.00
08-31 11:25Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.7199999539$10.00
08-31 03:51Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.3799999833$10.00
08-31 03:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.3754761649$8.30
08-30 11:30Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.31$9.43
08-29 14:08Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.5299999883$20.00
08-29 13:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.64$15.00
08-29 07:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.5399999919$23.86
08-29 05:31Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.4899999813$12.56
08-29 03:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.4199999973$27.91
08-28 23:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETBUY0.1179698144$31.01