0xd5e91686c8f9177595615ca5d51c40e15492ec6a
- Realised P&L
- $-860.12
- Volume
- $37.8k
- Markets traded
- 808
- Open portfolio
- $33.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded808
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No | 0.720 | 0.825 | $11.46 | +$1.46 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.895 | $11.19 | +$1.19 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.019 | $9.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.095 | $0.95 | −$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 16? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Down | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.83 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 18? · Yes | 0.531 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Down | 0.079 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$101.10 |
| XRP Up or Down - July 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Down | 0.134 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.91 |
| Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier · Alliance | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.36at 0.603Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
- +$96.44at 0.389Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
- +$83.10at 0.335Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$79.61at 0.262Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$76.81at 0.728Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:09 | Riley Greene: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 16:09 | Mike Trout: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 16:09 | Willson Contreras: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 11:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 08-31 11:25 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 08-31 11:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.7199999539 | $10.00 |
| 08-31 03:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 08-31 03:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3754761649 | $8.30 |
| 08-30 11:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.31 | $9.43 |
| 08-29 14:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 13:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $15.00 |
| 08-29 07:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999919 | $23.86 |
| 08-29 05:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999813 | $12.56 |
| 08-29 03:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999973 | $27.91 |
| 08-28 23:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1179698144 | $31.01 |