0xD5D9bD776E0Fd5C0939E8ac421ed52c2E922A6B5-1762589305977
0xd5d9bd776e0fd5c0939e8ac421ed52c2e922a6b5
- Realised P&L
- $-9.30
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $3.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.585 | $3.29 | −$1.71 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.70at 0.320Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 24?
- +$21.83at 0.820Will Urban Outfitters (URBN) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$15.33at 0.864Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$11.14at 0.856Will Macy's (M) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$9.95at 0.800Will Dell Technologies (DELL) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 13:18 | Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8899999252 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 09:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.9009999297 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 06:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 10:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.8499998831 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 16:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799999765 | $3.00 |
| 08-10 08:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.9739999995 | $3.80 |
| 08-06 16:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 13:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 16:25 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.75 |
| 08-05 15:35 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.8940397106 | $15.00 |
| 08-05 14:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $15.00 |
| 12-17 04:19 | Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.92 | $36.20 |
| 12-05 03:06 | Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.93 | $215.32 |