0xd5d4c0f438beddc65ecd9e92e46136e4eea861e8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.78
- Volume
- $420.39
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $1.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration60.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.007 | $0.85 | −$0.48 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.004 | $0.41 | −$0.59 |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.005 | $0.15 | −$0.62 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 21:26 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 21:21 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.91 |
| 07-21 21:20 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 20:46 | Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.13 |
| 07-21 20:46 | Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0109999908 | $1.20 |
| 07-21 20:43 | Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0284398217 | $0.77 |