0xd5d45d6Bd95bD9914e7EBbb3F78e97006aA2FF98-1734339590172
0xd5d45d6bd95bd9914e7ebbb3f78e97006aa2ff98
- Realised P&L
- $3.01
- Volume
- $21.5k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $27.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17? · Yes | 0.996 | 0.996 | $27.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.77at 0.816Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?
- +$0.41at 0.991Will Solana hit $300 in March?
- +$0.27at 0.993Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?
- +$0.24at 0.991Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$0.21at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 16:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.996 | $28.00 |
| 10-13 00:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 13? | BUY | 0.997800439 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 10:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.997 | $25.00 |
| 10-07 18:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9988631569 | $36.50 |
| 10-04 14:56 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $24.00 |
| 10-03 09:10 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.90 |
| 09-30 04:00 | Will XRP reach $2.20 in September? | BUY | 0.9984739608 | $19.00 |
| 09-27 20:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.70 |
| 09-26 20:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.00 |
| 09-23 19:21 | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 17:30 | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $32.60 |
| 09-17 21:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 18? | BUY | 0.995 | $41.30 |
| 09-16 19:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9969999366 | $11.00 |
| 09-07 09:26 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $26.00 |
| 08-31 18:48 | Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next? | BUY | 0.997 | $23.00 |