0xd5cf9ef0a3b97e311d02e059acbc9db3dcc2dca8
- Realised P&L
- $-205.71
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $0.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.001 | $0.20 | −$89.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.43at 0.211Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.88at 0.340Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$-2.00at 0.650No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
- +$-2.00at 0.006Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$-51.57at 0.122Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 16:51 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? | BUY | 0.229529161 | $90.00 |
| 09-07 01:12 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? | SELL | 0.23 | $92.85 |
| 07-16 08:40 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.6454443716 | $157.45 |
| 07-01 12:44 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? | BUY | 0.6367583871 | $68.59 |
| 06-20 07:16 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1179999981 | $50.00 |
| 06-20 07:15 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2049642717 | $50.00 |
| 06-20 07:13 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0329999993 | $50.00 |
| 11-21 03:36 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 11-21 03:36 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 11-21 03:36 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 11-21 03:35 | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |