0xD5Ce01E4Fae87bf9DeCB4502A6b96Bd4109dA41e-1747691452460
0xd5ce01e4fae87bf9decb4502a6b96bd4109da41e
- Realised P&L
- $-72.97
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $22.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.013 | $19.25 | +$14.25 |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.025 | $2.83 | −$7.17 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.53 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.411 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.398 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.41 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.659 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.67 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.93at 0.165Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.42at 0.104Chirayu Rana sued?
- +$5.23at 0.498Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$4.83at 0.677Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$3.47at 0.790Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 19:18 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.523 | $13.34 |
| 07-19 20:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4802132416 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 19:42 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4109999799 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 14:05 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0033764985 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 14:02 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 14:02 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.669999995 | $20.00 |
| 07-14 12:09 | Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | SELL | 0.8174387739 | $103.47 |
| 07-07 17:22 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.71 | $20.53 |
| 07-07 01:20 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3919999774 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 01:04 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 01:04 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 06-08 16:06 | Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 16:04 | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.0060000001 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 16:03 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |