0xd5c66ececc1c50cb9185218e9a3093677bf8980b
0xd5c66ececc1c50cb9185218e9a3093677bf8980b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.22
- Volume
- $62.51
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $6.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.640 | 0.983 | $1.54 | +$0.54 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.972 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.835 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.735 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.380 | $0.49 | −$0.51 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.335 | $0.46 | −$0.54 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.170 | $0.31 | −$0.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$2.09at 0.331Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$1.42at 0.420S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$0.65at 0.610Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$0.65at 0.612Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 05:49 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:30 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 07:41 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 23:36 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 14:55 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 06:33 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 22:26 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 13:32 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 07:59 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:51 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 13:28 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:13 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 21:13 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:12 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 05:12 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |