PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

L2FLP

0xd5be8990ef2512164f4aad2297e9b378bc1618e1

Realised P&L
$-427.17
Volume
$28.6k
Markets traded
451
Open portfolio
$26.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded451
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? · Yes0.1300.090$4.50$2.00
Will Paper Rex Win an International Event in 2026? · Yes0.1800.155$2.27$0.37
Will "Verity" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.1200.075$2.27$1.33
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.1850.169$2.10$0.21
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards? · Yes0.1800.092$1.84$1.76
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026? · Yes0.0990.055$1.65$1.32
Will George Kittle finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns? · Yes0.1210.070$1.41$1.01
Will Senegal win AFCON 2027? · Yes0.1590.122$1.05$0.32
Will Xiaomi be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.1210.043$0.86$1.56
Will Pachuca finish the 2026-27 Liga MX season with the best combined goal differential? · Yes0.0830.040$0.80$0.86
Will Mistral be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.0930.042$0.79$0.98
Will CF Monterrey finish the 2026-27 Liga MX season with the best combined goal differential? · Yes0.0840.038$0.76$0.92
Will Keaton Verhoeff win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? · Yes0.0810.036$0.73$0.89
Will Fluminense win the 2027 Copa Libertadores? · Yes0.0900.035$0.70$1.10
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.0920.035$0.70$1.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 16:00Will Alabama Crimson Tide Win the 2026 SEC Championship?SELL0.11$2.10
09-20 14:59Will Baidu be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?SELL0.011$0.09
09-20 14:58Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?SELL0.07$0.37
09-20 14:15Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 5%-10%?SELL0.1$1.50
09-20 14:14Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 5%-10%?SELL0.12$0.60
09-20 13:52Will Kewan Lacy be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?SELL0.09$1.80
09-20 13:25Will Rwanda win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group K?SELL0.12$1.20
09-20 13:25Will Rwanda win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group K?SELL0.12$1.20
09-20 12:45Will Kennesaw State Owls Win the 2026 Conference USA Championship?SELL0.04$0.80
09-20 12:14Will Dak Prescott finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?SELL0.14$0.93
09-20 12:10Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$0.16
09-20 11:49Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$3.15
09-20 11:48Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$0.90
09-20 11:45Will Ivory Coast win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group C?SELL0.44$8.80
09-20 11:20Will Khorazm be relegated from the 2026 Uzbekistan Super League?SELL0.39$7.80