5207418-741
0xd5bdf7bfec7792eecf91094b0632100ff1d518fe
- Realised P&L
- $-148.45
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 277
- Open portfolio
- $8.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded277
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.17at 0.570Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
- +$35.23at 0.015Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
- +$19.36at 0.028Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
- +$15.43at 0.580Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$12.12at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 03:53 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.80 |
| 10-08 03:52 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $6.20 |
| 09-23 19:08 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $31.84 |
| 09-16 13:58 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.92 | $10.17 |
| 09-15 18:18 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.18 |
| 09-10 16:23 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.092 | $2.05 |
| 08-26 19:14 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.044 | $0.63 |
| 08-24 16:33 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.0113125 | $0.18 |
| 08-24 03:54 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.71 |
| 08-19 15:57 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $5.39 |
| 08-18 12:04 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.31 |
| 08-18 12:04 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.90 |
| 08-18 07:13 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.063 | $4.85 |
| 08-18 07:13 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.063 | $6.30 |
| 08-18 07:12 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.063 | $12.60 |