PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

5207418-741

0xd5bdf7bfec7792eecf91094b0632100ff1d518fe

Realised P&L
$-148.45
Volume
$11.7k
Markets traded
277
Open portfolio
$8.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded277
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.0400.015$5.20−$9.15
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · Yes0.0400.029$2.83−$1.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$2.71
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.9700.000$0.00−$6.61
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET · Down0.5500.000$0.00−$3.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down0.5700.000$0.00−$43.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$10.57
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$1.19
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$1.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$2.27
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET · Down0.6000.000$0.00−$1.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET · Down0.5200.000$0.00−$1.20
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4150.000$0.00−$2.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET · Up0.9800.000$0.00−$50.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$8.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 03:53Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.04$5.80
10-08 03:52Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.04$6.20
09-23 19:08Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?SELL0.08$31.84
09-16 13:58Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.92$10.17
09-15 18:18Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.81$8.18
09-10 16:23Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.092$2.05
08-26 19:14Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?SELL0.044$0.63
08-24 16:33Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?SELL0.0113125$0.18
08-24 03:54Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?SELL0.001$0.71
08-19 15:57Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?BUY0.07$5.39
08-18 12:04Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?SELL0.08$0.31
08-18 12:04Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?BUY0.1$20.90
08-18 07:13Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?SELL0.063$4.85
08-18 07:13Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?SELL0.063$6.30
08-18 07:12Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?SELL0.063$12.60