kk-strm
0xd5bc662a71f3fd704d301d14f8409be59a78583b
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $88.8k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $982.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1win FDV above $45M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.995 | 1.000 | $982.97 | +$3.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.3kat 0.483Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$869.25at 0.376EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?
- +$191.49at 0.610Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
- +$32.43at 0.185Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 8?
- +$28.99at 0.648Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:17 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0103934622 | $68.55 |
| 11-01 21:05 | 1win FDV above $45M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9954639259 | $979.00 |
| 06-03 07:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6103640582 | $36.99 |
| 06-03 07:24 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $39.71 |
| 06-02 10:48 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.26 |
| 06-02 10:47 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $127.89 |
| 03-31 12:38 | EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3755170715 | $522.70 |
| 03-31 12:38 | EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.35 | $152.05 |
| 03-31 12:36 | EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3500566653 | $370.66 |
| 03-23 07:54 | Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1679999434 | $2.35 |
| 03-21 19:18 | Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.46 | $474.98 |
| 02-01 05:48 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.003 | $33.27 |
| 01-27 21:03 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.2199999995 | $299.85 |
| 01-21 04:17 | Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4233734854 | $45.00 |
| 01-18 14:25 | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | BUY | 0.849999981 | $38.00 |