daijiaosan
0xd5ba02202f397d7bc03960d4d5e44fc3dc02563b
- Realised P&L
- $-10.17
- Volume
- $33.5k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $104.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.011 | $93.15 | −$20.25 |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.007 | $11.44 | −$8.39 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.13 |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aterion Esports vs HARD GRIND (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 2nd Division · HARD GRIND | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Suplex Team vs Omnix (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 2nd Division · Suplex Team | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.35 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.01 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: The Soulless Team vs HARD GRIND - Game 2 Winner · The Soulless Team | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.40 |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: The Soulless Team vs HARD GRIND (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 2nd Division · The Soulless Team | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.66at 0.011Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.51at 0.750Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
- +$7.51at 0.750Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
- +$6.51at 0.750Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
- +$5.51at 0.750Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-05 20:38 | Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.29 |
| 06-05 20:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.97 |
| 06-05 20:32 | Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.40 |
| 06-05 20:32 | Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.014 | $112.00 |
| 06-05 20:31 | Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.015 | $6.54 |
| 06-05 20:31 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.013 | $19.83 |
| 06-05 18:40 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.013 | $126.06 |
| 04-27 10:01 | Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.64 |
| 04-27 10:01 | Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.99 |
| 04-27 10:00 | Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.34 |
| 04-27 10:00 | Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.99 |
| 04-27 10:00 | Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 04-27 10:00 | Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 04-27 09:59 | Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 04-27 09:59 | Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.98 |