PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

JXie

0xd5b7c8df513ff306babb237971ee06fe47f52761

Realised P&L
$-11.52
Volume
$315.46
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$13.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 16? · No0.4950.999$4.03+$2.03
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 16? · Yes0.3400.997$2.93+$1.93
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17? · Yes0.4300.655$1.52+$0.52
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 16? · No0.6600.996$1.51+$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 16? · No0.7001.000$1.43+$0.43
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 17? · Yes0.4100.330$0.80−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 17? · Yes0.2500.165$0.66−$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 17? · Yes0.0700.045$0.64−$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 16? · Yes0.0500.001$0.01−$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 16? · Yes0.2700.002$0.01−$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 16? · No0.6800.004$0.01−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 11? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 8? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 18? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 02:44Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 16?BUY0.05$1.00
10-16 02:44Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 16?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-16 02:44Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 16?BUY0.7$1.00
10-16 01:39Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 17?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-16 01:39Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 17?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-15 13:59Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 16?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-15 13:59Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 16?BUY0.5$1.00
10-15 13:34Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 17?BUY0.25$1.00
10-15 13:34Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 16?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-15 13:34Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 16?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-15 13:34Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 16?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-15 13:34Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
10-15 13:34Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 16?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
10-15 12:36Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 16?SELL0.65$0.98
10-15 12:36Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 16?BUY0.6799999472$1.03