PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

qifeilo

0xd5b0120ae5e573630a390571287f5c6f482bf655

Realised P&L
$-2.7k
Volume
$261.2k
Markets traded
235
Open portfolio
$27.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded235
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026? · Yes0.1100.075$8.83−$4.17
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1300.055$8.46−$11.54
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.049$4.84−$5.16
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.0800.021$4.18−$11.82
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0420.029$1.36−$0.64
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? · No0.1800.000$0.00−$36.00
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles · Seattle Mariners0.5100.000$0.00−$51.00
Starmer out by July 31, 2026? · No0.0670.000$0.00−$39.90
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins · Arizona Diamondbacks0.4500.000$0.00−$128.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$37.00
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics · Milwaukee Brewers0.5100.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$38.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 02:26Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.0419999997$2.00
09-27 01:08Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.002970297$1.00
08-13 05:03Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?SELL0.69$13.80
08-13 03:45Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?SELL0.91$18.20
08-13 03:45Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?SELL0.926$18.52
08-13 03:05Will Ben Shelton Win ATP MontrealSELL0.62$12.40
08-13 03:05Will Brandon Nakashima Win ATP MontrealSELL0.679005$13.58
08-13 02:30Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?SELL0.93$18.60
08-11 02:17Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?SELL0.48$8.56
08-11 02:17Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.327585$6.55
08-11 02:16Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?SELL0.72$7.07
08-11 02:16Grok 4.6 released by August 11, 2026?SELL0.34$6.80
08-11 02:16Grok 4.6 released by August 13, 2026?SELL0.75$15.00
08-11 01:40Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.35$7.00
08-11 01:11Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?SELL0.75$15.00