fxcougar
0xd5ad2f7f97be8852d87e0cec4568ef279ba65a42
- Realised P&L
- $-333.05
- Volume
- $30.3k
- Markets traded
- 610
- Open portfolio
- $19.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded610
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5) · Wake Forest | 0.510 | 0.505 | $19.80 | −$0.20 |
| Boston Terriers vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds · Boston Terriers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Texas A&M (-14.5) · Arizona State | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins · No | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Arizona State Sun Devils vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 165.5 · Under | 0.499 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: Patriots (-7.5) · Giants | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Senators (-1.5) · Senators | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Dolphins (-2.5) · Jets | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: Sweden (-1.5) · Tunisia | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 50.5 · Under | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Spread: UNCG Spartans (-1.5) · VMI Keydets | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) · Grizzlies | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$172.26at 0.542England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
- +$58.92at 0.487Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$57.81at 0.306Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$56.95at 0.447Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$51.94at 0.490Spread: Broncos (-7.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 19:12 | Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5) | BUY | 0.5099999906 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 19:11 | Houston vs. Texas Tech: O/U 51.5 | SELL | 0.47 | $21.16 |
| 09-18 16:27 | Houston vs. Texas Tech: O/U 51.5 | BUY | 0.4799999929 | $21.61 |
| 09-18 16:26 | Spread: Texas Tech (-14.5) | SELL | 0.66 | $19.41 |
| 09-18 15:49 | Spread: Texas Tech (-14.5) | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 23:34 | Spread: Bills (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 16:35 | Spread: Bills (-5.5) | SELL | 0.5 | $24.04 |
| 09-16 20:54 | Spread: Bills (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5199999908 | $25.00 |
| 09-13 11:39 | Spread: LAC (-9.5) | BUY | 0.5199999969 | $26.62 |
| 09-12 20:41 | San Diego State vs. UCLA: O/U 54.5 | BUY | 0.4899999968 | $50.00 |
| 09-12 15:11 | Spread: Texas A&M (-14.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 09-11 15:17 | Spread: Boston College (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5399999918 | $25.00 |
| 09-10 20:14 | Spread: Rams (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 02:52 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | SELL | 0.65 | $54.16 |
| 09-10 01:16 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.2999999976 | $25.00 |