Advanced-Volcano
0xd5ac04dc2e2be2b0e6f8802acd2e4dc5d4a80510
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $742.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,013
- Open portfolio
- $124.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,013
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.859 | 0.845 | $124.50 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 3? · Yes | 0.849 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.53 |
| Exact Score: Paris FC 2 - 2 Arsenal WFC? · No | 0.989 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$292.93 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 3? · No | 0.861 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$122.97 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 10? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$413.72at 0.560Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12?
- +$343.47at 0.730Jingshan: Wushuang Zheng vs Sara Sorribes Tormo
- +$258.51at 0.547England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
- +$198.81at 0.876Tampere: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Otto Virtanen
- +$185.75at 0.920Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:21 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.86 | $109.08 |
| 10-01 06:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.43 |
| 10-01 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $127.45 |
| 10-01 01:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.91 | $116.10 |
| 10-01 01:29 | Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 3 St. Louis City SC? | SELL | 0.1086510342 | $121.86 |
| 10-01 01:20 | Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 3 St. Louis City SC? | BUY | 0.983 | $206.43 |
| 10-01 01:18 | Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 3 St. Louis City SC? | BUY | 0.979 | $97.90 |
| 10-01 01:17 | Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 3 St. Louis City SC? | BUY | 0.979 | $97.90 |
| 10-01 01:17 | Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 3 St. Louis City SC? | BUY | 0.973 | $97.30 |
| 10-01 01:16 | Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 3 St. Louis City SC? | BUY | 0.976 | $97.60 |
| 10-01 01:16 | Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 3 St. Louis City SC? | BUY | 0.975 | $401.31 |
| 09-30 19:23 | Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 FC Bayern München? | BUY | 0.966 | $429.87 |
| 09-30 19:23 | Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 FC Bayern München? | BUY | 0.966 | $483.00 |
| 09-30 19:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.991 | $895.55 |
| 09-30 19:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.992 | $20.11 |