PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Advanced-Volcano

0xd5ac04dc2e2be2b0e6f8802acd2e4dc5d4a80510

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$742.2k
Markets traded
2,013
Open portfolio
$124.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,013
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1? · Yes0.8590.845$124.50−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 3? · Yes0.8490.000$0.00−$150.53
Exact Score: Paris FC 2 - 2 Arsenal WFC? · No0.9890.000$0.00−$292.93
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 9? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 3? · No0.8610.000$0.00−$122.97
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 10? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00−$5.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 06:21Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1?BUY0.86$109.08
10-01 06:20Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1?BUY0.85$17.43
10-01 06:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1?SELL0.999$127.45
10-01 01:31Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1?BUY0.91$116.10
10-01 01:29Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 3 St. Louis City SC?SELL0.1086510342$121.86
10-01 01:20Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 3 St. Louis City SC?BUY0.983$206.43
10-01 01:18Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 3 St. Louis City SC?BUY0.979$97.90
10-01 01:17Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 3 St. Louis City SC?BUY0.979$97.90
10-01 01:17Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 3 St. Louis City SC?BUY0.973$97.30
10-01 01:16Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 3 St. Louis City SC?BUY0.976$97.60
10-01 01:16Exact Score: New York Red Bulls 0 - 3 St. Louis City SC?BUY0.975$401.31
09-30 19:23Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 FC Bayern München?BUY0.966$429.87
09-30 19:23Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 FC Bayern München?BUY0.966$483.00
09-30 19:22Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 1?SELL0.991$895.55
09-30 19:22Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 1?SELL0.992$20.11