ndfgbsdrgf
0xd5a99ea95539fe84e5476b20a5f10c88c6e7f5d1
- Realised P&L
- $-28.62
- Volume
- $15.3k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $35.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.205 | $32.80 | −$34.40 |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.980 | 0.987 | $2.62 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.07at 0.949Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30?
- +$0.79at 0.850Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?
- +$0.75at 0.947Will Ethereum reach $4900 September 8–14?
- +$0.64at 0.959Solana reach 240 September 1–7?
- +$0.54at 0.969Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 01:46 | Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.60 |
| 08-10 08:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August? | BUY | 0.9939999985 | $2.60 |
| 07-06 03:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.50 |
| 06-22 16:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.58 |
| 06-03 09:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.00 |
| 05-09 02:26 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? | BUY | 0.9929996898 | $2.90 |
| 04-23 16:31 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in April 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.93 |
| 03-17 06:50 | Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in March 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.93 |
| 01-23 06:01 | Will Solana reach $200 in January? | BUY | 0.9979999931 | $69.99 |
| 01-07 03:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.9979999951 | $46.85 |
| 01-07 03:20 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999645 | $23.00 |
| 12-17 06:38 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.76 |
| 12-06 13:29 | Ethereum all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.9819999998 | $21.70 |
| 12-06 13:22 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in December 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.00 |
| 11-17 05:39 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.46 |