yes.man
0xd5a71b5ab8e72716e6ed99b53b3f2d6a1b68c4e7
- Realised P&L
- $147.77
- Volume
- $64.9k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $107.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.210 | $107.72 | −$9.94 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.44 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.50at 0.287Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?
- +$68.54at 0.150Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$49.89at 0.342Will Trump say "Turkey" 10+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?
- +$46.57at 0.173Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$41.30at 0.084Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 18:56 | Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | SELL | 0.1561837003 | $47.53 |
| 09-08 16:47 | Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.2459020425 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 21:25 | Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 19:05 | Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.2270842329 | $30.00 |
| 09-01 21:25 | Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.25 | $7.50 |
| 09-01 14:08 | Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 16:28 | Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.23 | $6.90 |
| 08-28 16:27 | Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.23 | $6.90 |
| 08-28 12:36 | Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.23 | $6.90 |
| 08-28 10:27 | Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.23 | $6.90 |
| 08-27 01:44 | Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 12:32 | Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 06-27 23:13 | Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.09250025 | $9.25 |
| 05-14 10:51 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 13:45 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |