PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

negar

0xd5a643204bbf5bc36438565ea52fde8d9b4c6991

Realised P&L
$-24.4k
Volume
$1.82M
Markets traded
2,153
Open portfolio
$41.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,153
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 15? · No0.0470.021$21.32−$26.39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 19? · Yes0.0550.006$20.56−$153.15
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00−$92.29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14? · No0.0280.000$0.00−$60.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 14? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$34.89
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 14? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00−$92.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 03:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 15?BUY0.047$47.71
10-14 15:05Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 14?BUY0.062848087$92.91
10-13 17:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 14?BUY0.0075997568$34.89
10-13 17:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?BUY0.0282064176$60.00
10-13 02:24Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?BUY0.0127047804$4.59
10-12 23:15Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?BUY0.1531861771$87.70
10-12 23:12Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?SELL0.999$93.82
10-12 21:46Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?BUY0.3499999989$32.87
10-12 21:44Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?SELL0.015$36.31
10-12 20:51Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?BUY0.0191945475$46.46
10-12 20:50Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?SELL0.0158030232$16.75
10-12 20:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 13?SELL0.0117115737$33.99
10-12 19:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 19?BUY0.055$171.31
10-12 19:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 19?BUY0.0498007044$2.40
10-12 17:43Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?BUY0.0943553883$100.00