Peggybro
0xd5a57792861b89b55b10047e252c7b1858246f1f
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $46.0k
- Markets traded
- 208
- Open portfolio
- $342.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded208
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$448.00at 0.656Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5
- +$417.38at 0.590Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox
- +$386.65at 0.450Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
- +$307.52at 0.380Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots
- +$283.28at 0.440New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 10:26 | Cincinnati Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherot | SELL | 0.66 | $170.94 |
| 05-13 18:47 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi | BUY | 0.34 | $20.74 |
| 03-27 19:59 | Hawks vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $2.00 |
| 03-26 18:48 | Knicks vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |
| 03-25 19:23 | Lakers vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 11-04 19:48 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04? | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 11-02 15:27 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-11-02? | BUY | 0.6599999976 | $50.00 |
| 04-06 12:08 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 03-02 14:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? | BUY | 0.0919999183 | $1.00 |
| 01-05 20:56 | Chargers vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 12-15 13:50 | Will Brighton win on 2024-12-15? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 11-07 22:48 | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | BUY | 0.9589999999 | $50.00 |
| 10-21 21:07 | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BUY | 0.75 | $37.50 |
| 10-03 21:37 | Will Team Liquid win LoL Worlds 2024? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 10-03 21:36 | Will another team win LoL Worlds 2024? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.01 |