PolyBot

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Traders

UncleBrave

0xd5a17356cb67f28ae462859e3a55866d39297fbe

Realised P&L
$-310.91
Volume
$19.3k
Markets traded
203
Open portfolio
$30.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded203
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5000.875$17.50+$7.50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 16? · Yes0.2100.255$12.75+$2.25
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 15? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 04:15Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 14?SELL0.67263$13.45
07-31 00:59Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?BUY0.65$13.00
07-18 07:45Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 18?SELL0.09$3.03
07-18 07:44Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 18?SELL0.0020798193$0.37
07-18 05:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 18?BUY0.31$7.34
07-18 05:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 18?BUY0.07$2.10
07-18 05:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 18?BUY0.0537634997$1.57
07-18 05:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 18?BUY0.05$3.61
07-15 01:55Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?BUY0.37$11.10
07-15 01:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?BUY0.35$3.50
07-15 01:53Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?BUY0.3504347826$40.30
07-09 22:37Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.5949999762$5.00
07-08 22:47Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 9?BUY0.319$2.55
07-08 22:47Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 9?BUY0.319$2.55
07-08 22:46Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 9?BUY0.32$4.43