0xc9172110F02d2fd94fD6A52B6A45b7cBb3DD58ae-1768566604322
0xd59e99b1914b49f45be7c30756cca53e5ba4b7ca
- Realised P&L
- $-52.13
- Volume
- $386.49
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $2.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.011 | $2.88 | −$25.12 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.99at 0.870Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 08:40 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1019999971 | $28.00 |
| 06-17 13:47 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 13:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 13:43 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.5499999931 | $20.00 |