OffeOnIce666
0xd595954d155b787ab2b1782d0fb2d54cf380fb86
- Realised P&L
- $-3.59
- Volume
- $34.78
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $6.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.560 | 1.000 | $3.57 | +$1.57 |
| Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.957 | $2.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.080 | $0.29 | −$0.71 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.032 | $0.19 | −$0.81 |
| Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-30 13:11 | Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 05-15 19:02 | Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 05-15 19:02 | Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 06:14 | Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 06:14 | Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 06:13 | Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 06:11 | Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 05:37 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |