dfhtr8754eyrtj
0xd593dbce971cf764f41c2db6553a3271042e1b5e
- Realised P&L
- $20.48
- Volume
- $115.4k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $17.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.929 | 0.961 | $15.51 | +$0.51 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.255 | $1.74 | −$1.26 |
| Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.009 | $0.19 | −$4.81 |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage · Team Falcons | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.500Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
- +$715.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
- +$338.10at 0.500Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$20.90at 0.489Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$20.10at 0.380No Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 11:06 | Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.0316031382 | $107.45 |
| 08-16 11:06 | Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.967 | $3.3k |
| 08-14 06:46 | Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage | BUY | 0.75 | $12.00 |
| 08-14 06:46 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9289999896 | $15.00 |
| 06-29 07:57 | Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 07:57 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.4399999707 | $3.00 |
| 06-29 07:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.50 |
| 06-13 06:26 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.894 | $1.4k |
| 06-13 06:26 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.895 | $1.4k |
| 03-30 06:56 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.983 | $688.10 |
| 03-26 08:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7599999483 | $10.00 |
| 12-30 10:07 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8699999463 | $12.00 |
| 12-04 11:13 | Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.9359999975 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 11:43 | Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025? | BUY | 0.5199999827 | $6.00 |
| 06-27 17:06 | Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup? | BUY | 0.1511858641 | $2.00 |