PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dfhtr8754eyrtj

0xd593dbce971cf764f41c2db6553a3271042e1b5e

Realised P&L
$20.48
Volume
$115.4k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$17.44

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9290.961$15.51+$0.51
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.4400.255$1.74$1.26
Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season? · Yes0.2500.009$0.19$4.81
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage · Team Falcons0.7500.000$0.00$12.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$3.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-16 11:06Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.0316031382$107.45
08-16 11:06Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.967$3.3k
08-14 06:46Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group StageBUY0.75$12.00
08-14 06:46Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.9289999896$15.00
06-29 07:57Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?BUY0.25$5.00
06-29 07:57Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.4399999707$3.00
06-29 07:56Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.5$3.50
06-13 06:26Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.894$1.4k
06-13 06:26Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.895$1.4k
03-30 06:56Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.983$688.10
03-26 08:50Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7599999483$10.00
12-30 10:07No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.8699999463$12.00
12-04 11:13Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?BUY0.9359999975$15.00
09-17 11:43Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?BUY0.5199999827$6.00
06-27 17:06Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?BUY0.1511858641$2.00