PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xd587030942069cab65c6c3e026bcda4fda87da0a

0xd587030942069cab65c6c3e026bcda4fda87da0a

Realised P&L
$-16.94
Volume
$573.81
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$2.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? · No0.3100.340$1.10+$0.10
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? · Yes0.3900.365$0.95−$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-28 09:23Another 7.0 or above earthquake by June 30, 2026?BUY0.32$1.60
05-28 08:59FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?BUY0.3099998956$2.02
05-28 08:48Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?BUY0.3979999147$2.36
05-05 21:31Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?BUY0.3099998956$2.02
04-24 10:09Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?BUY0.3099998857$1.51
04-22 16:55Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on April 23?BUY0.2999998759$1.37
04-22 16:39Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on April 22?BUY0.2899998928$1.30
04-22 16:22Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on April 22?BUY0.32$2.17
04-10 14:50Will Meta (META) close above $640 on April 13?BUY0.3699999339$1.79
04-10 14:26Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 on April 10?BUY0.2699999218$2.45
04-07 13:01Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4599999719$2.29
03-31 08:36Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?BUY0.549999967$2.50
03-31 08:18Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?BUY0.5899999221$2.50
03-26 09:27Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170-$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?BUY0.8$2.50
03-26 09:09Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?BUY0.7899998578$2.50