0xd587030942069cab65c6c3e026bcda4fda87da0a
0xd587030942069cab65c6c3e026bcda4fda87da0a
- Realised P&L
- $-16.94
- Volume
- $573.81
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $2.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? · No | 0.310 | 0.340 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.365 | $0.95 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.50at 0.227Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
- +$7.12at 0.260Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 9?
- +$5.31at 0.320Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
- +$4.44at 0.319Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
- +$4.26at 0.370Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 09:23 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 05-28 08:59 | FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301? | BUY | 0.3099998956 | $2.02 |
| 05-28 08:48 | Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3979999147 | $2.36 |
| 05-05 21:31 | Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.3099998956 | $2.02 |
| 04-24 10:09 | Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27? | BUY | 0.3099998857 | $1.51 |
| 04-22 16:55 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on April 23? | BUY | 0.2999998759 | $1.37 |
| 04-22 16:39 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on April 22? | BUY | 0.2899998928 | $1.30 |
| 04-22 16:22 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on April 22? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.17 |
| 04-10 14:50 | Will Meta (META) close above $640 on April 13? | BUY | 0.3699999339 | $1.79 |
| 04-10 14:26 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 on April 10? | BUY | 0.2699999218 | $2.45 |
| 04-07 13:01 | Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4599999719 | $2.29 |
| 03-31 08:36 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999967 | $2.50 |
| 03-31 08:18 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999221 | $2.50 |
| 03-26 09:27 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170-$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.50 |
| 03-26 09:09 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998578 | $2.50 |