PolyBot

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Traders

0xd585837ee27ad753e3132b2efc0048443ba8b1b9

0xd585837ee27ad753e3132b2efc0048443ba8b1b9

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$42.3k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$246.34

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.2600.930$186.10+$134.10
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.2500.110$44.00−$56.00
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.2000.110$11.00−$9.00
Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.5500.730$4.05+$1.00
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.2900.037$1.18−$7.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00−$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Down0.4500.000$0.00−$45.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET · Up0.1700.000$0.00−$17.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00−$13.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET · Down0.6000.000$0.00−$12.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET · Down0.2900.000$0.00−$2.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET · Down0.4590.000$0.00−$50.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET · Down0.2700.000$0.00−$27.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET · Down0.3860.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-26 01:35Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.2870577206$287.05
05-25 23:31Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.0206136233$23.01
05-25 23:27Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.0299876778$41.49
05-04 15:21Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.7069393$141.39
05-01 06:46Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL0.978$58.68
05-01 06:46Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL0.977$195.40
05-01 06:45Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL0.9770980561$215.64
05-01 06:14Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETSELL0.09$9.00
05-01 05:58Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETSELL0.1332911392$10.53
05-01 05:41Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.6071524453$200.00
05-01 05:37Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETBUY0.3858819805$100.00
05-01 05:30Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETBUY0.4556545095$16.12
05-01 05:17Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETBUY0.17$12.50
05-01 05:08Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETSELL0.09$6.30
05-01 05:05Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETBUY0.46$9.20