LukaArauj
0xd577d7d6c4cabcd7164d97ad45879be393d1c012
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $98.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,207
- Open portfolio
- $23.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,207
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) · Nongshim RedForce | 0.570 | 0.585 | $10.26 | +$0.26 |
| Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5) · FaZe | 0.360 | 0.335 | $9.30 | −$0.69 |
| Map Handicap: FORZE.R (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5) · FORZE Reload | 0.480 | 0.460 | $2.65 | −$0.12 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.568 | 0.625 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$170.00at 0.150Magic vs. Celtics
- +$90.00at 0.400CA Independiente vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5
- +$88.20at 0.412CA Mineiro vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5
- +$88.20at 0.412Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5
- +$86.05at 0.412Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-09-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 01:45 | Atlético Nacional vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $57.78 |
| 09-30 19:35 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.56 | $58.95 |
| 09-30 17:39 | Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5) | BUY | 0.36 | $5.40 |
| 09-30 17:35 | Cecilia Zandalasini: Points O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 17:31 | Shakira Austin: Points O/U 17.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $0.27 |
| 09-30 17:26 | Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 17:12 | Map Handicap: FORZE.R (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $2.76 |
| 09-30 16:51 | Arsenal WFC leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.54 | $57.86 |
| 09-30 11:23 | LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.72 | $60.00 |
| 09-30 07:02 | Will Miami FC win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.6 | $58.06 |
| 09-29 02:05 | Guatemala vs. El Salvador: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.59 | $58.03 |
| 09-28 19:40 | Wuxi Wugou vs. Ningbo Professional FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5218846188 | $57.99 |
| 09-28 14:57 | Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.6 | $59.02 |
| 09-28 04:15 | Will Internacional FC De Palmira win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.53 | $58.89 |
| 09-27 21:47 | LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.62 | $59.04 |