KLWS
0xd573e3d4a40d05ab238b9c9035c19aa92c13c64f
- Realised P&L
- $93.91
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $66.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.043 | $43.50 | −$12.50 |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.058 | $23.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · England | 0.537 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$242.72at 0.174Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$5.43at 0.389Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$4.82at 0.240Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
- +$1.11at 0.090Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$0.64at 0.073Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 18:53 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5374999923 | $20.00 |
| 07-14 15:03 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2149999971 | $50.00 |
| 06-21 23:42 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.3799999973 | $40.00 |
| 05-11 00:42 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | SELL | 0.08 | $11.43 |
| 05-09 08:58 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 04-01 12:18 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.017 | $10.00 |
| 03-16 01:51 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | SELL | 0.6 | $15.42 |
| 03-03 09:44 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.22 | $10.44 |
| 03-03 09:43 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.221 | $5.60 |
| 03-02 00:05 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.1975003094 | $10.00 |
| 03-01 13:37 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.451 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 16:59 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | BUY | 0.3889999895 | $10.00 |
| 01-11 10:15 | Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | SELL | 0.2515715451 | $104.82 |
| 01-10 01:58 | Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $100.00 |
| 01-07 16:28 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $11.11 |