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Traders

SPDuck

0xd56d08c6cff7e9571d27a13c31c48515af1012a9

Realised P&L
$-284.29
Volume
$42.4k
Markets traded
320
Open portfolio
$619.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded320
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · No0.9500.944$47.17$0.33
Will Sui reach $1.80 before 2027? · No0.7310.750$45.00+$1.15
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? · No0.8800.855$42.75$1.25
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by August 31? · No0.4030.465$38.59+$5.12
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.915$36.60+$9.40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9? · No0.8530.999$29.95+$4.36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 14? · No0.9300.925$27.73$0.15
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by August 31? · No0.6990.750$27.64+$1.88
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? · No0.8580.462$27.62$23.70
Will Solana reach $90 in August? · No0.9000.875$26.25$0.75
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9150.858$25.74$1.70
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by August 31? · Yes0.7390.930$25.11+$5.16
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.945$23.52+$3.61
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 10? · No0.9550.995$19.89+$0.79
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 11? · No0.9500.986$19.71+$0.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 11:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7?BUY0.06$2.40
08-06 23:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 13?BUY0.95$4.75
08-05 11:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 11?BUY0.95$9.50
08-05 00:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 11?BUY0.95$4.75
08-03 01:42Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 60 by August 31?BUY0.26$1.07
08-03 01:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9?BUY0.87$8.70
08-02 13:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8?BUY0.88$8.80
08-02 10:37Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by August 31?SELL0.54$2.70
08-02 10:34Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by August 31?SELL0.57$2.85
08-02 10:24Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by August 31?BUY0.51$2.55
08-02 02:35Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by August 31?BUY0.42$8.70
08-02 02:30Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by August 31?BUY0.52$10.40
08-01 01:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7?BUY0.89$13.35
08-01 01:04Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by July 31?SELL0.01$0.12
07-30 06:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?BUY0.93$9.30
Trader SPDuck · PolyBot