SPDuck
0xd56d08c6cff7e9571d27a13c31c48515af1012a9
- Realised P&L
- $-645.30
- Volume
- $49.8k
- Markets traded
- 399
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded399
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.30at 0.707Will AVAX reach $11 by December 31, 2026?
- +$55.70at 0.023Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 80 by July 31?
- +$52.10at 0.013Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
- +$48.52at 0.015Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
- +$47.59at 0.050Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 18:30 | Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.958 | $4.79 |
| 09-24 18:30 | Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.922 | $4.61 |
| 09-24 18:30 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-24 18:30 | Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.69 |
| 09-24 18:29 | Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-22 14:31 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $1.23 |
| 09-22 00:27 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.96 |
| 09-21 14:37 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $0.38 |
| 09-21 13:12 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $59.73 |
| 09-21 13:11 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $71.20 |
| 09-20 15:14 | Will AVAX reach $12 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $12.75 |
| 09-20 15:14 | Will AVAX reach $12 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 09-20 14:56 | Will AVAX reach $11 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73375 | $29.35 |
| 09-20 14:55 | Will AVAX reach $11 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $91.33 |
| 09-19 02:47 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6342857143 | $17.76 |