PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SPDuck

0xd56d08c6cff7e9571d27a13c31c48515af1012a9

Realised P&L
$-645.30
Volume
$49.8k
Markets traded
399
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded399
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8300.940$101.97+$11.93
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.8760.915$91.50+$3.90
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.8330.925$79.90+$7.96
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026? · No0.5120.610$72.46+$11.69
Will Solana hit $300 by December 31, 2027? · No0.6170.455$50.52−$18.02
Will Hyperliquid reach $104 in September? · No0.7500.912$41.04+$7.29
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8850.719$39.52−$9.17
Will Solana hit $300 by March 31, 2027? · No0.8650.680$37.68−$10.23
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5850.390$36.59−$18.27
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.75T in 2026? · No0.9120.805$33.01−$4.39
Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.825$33.00−$1.80
Will Sui reach $2.50 before 2027? · No0.9130.870$30.60−$1.51
Will AVAX reach $12 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8050.620$26.04−$7.79
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.625$25.00−$2.20
Will AVAX reach $14 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.580$23.20−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 18:30Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.958$4.79
09-24 18:30Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.922$4.61
09-24 18:30Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.72$3.60
09-24 18:30Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$4.69
09-24 18:29Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5$2.50
09-22 14:31Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026?BUY0.41$1.23
09-22 00:27Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026?BUY0.43$2.96
09-21 14:37Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026?BUY0.38$0.38
09-21 13:12Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.88$59.73
09-21 13:11Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027?BUY0.89$71.20
09-20 15:14Will AVAX reach $12 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$12.75
09-20 15:14Will AVAX reach $12 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.69$3.45
09-20 14:56Will AVAX reach $11 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.73375$29.35
09-20 14:55Will AVAX reach $11 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.68$91.33
09-19 02:47Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6342857143$17.76