PolyBot

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Traders

Alekseinfo

0xd56c81fe85208768c8c2a6356dda60d8d1fee48e

Realised P&L
$-344.34
Volume
$49.4k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$30.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · No0.8500.942$9.42+$0.92
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1630.075$9.00$10.60
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1350.065$7.15$7.65
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? · Yes0.2100.086$2.42$3.49
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? · Yes0.3750.077$1.54$5.96
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes0.0910.085$0.85$0.06
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31? · Yes0.1540.000$0.00$31.22
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · No0.4500.000$0.00$4.50
Macron out by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$48.61
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.2960.000$0.00$20.70
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$6.30
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 20? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$2.00
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$4.00
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00$22.40
Will Portugal record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$5.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-01 07:16Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.999$19.98
05-19 18:07Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.37$3.70
05-13 12:57Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.999$9.98
05-13 12:55Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.999$9.99
05-13 12:52Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.999$9.99
04-12 09:25Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.23$11.50
03-07 15:22Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.011$1.10
03-07 15:21Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.011$1.10
03-05 19:34Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?BUY0.07$2.24
02-12 20:15Will Jurassic World Rebirth win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.01$1.22
02-09 11:08Will Jurassic World Rebirth win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.011$1.07
02-08 19:25Will United Arab Emirates record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.048$1.58
02-07 12:54Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?SELL0.999$9.99
02-07 12:48Will Jurassic World Rebirth win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.013$0.07
02-06 21:32Will Puerto Rico record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.038$1.39