Alekseinfo
0xd56c81fe85208768c8c2a6356dda60d8d1fee48e
- Realised P&L
- $-344.34
- Volume
- $49.4k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $30.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.00at 0.050Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?
- +$30.27at 0.518Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$18.55at 0.147US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$14.82at 0.259Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
- +$14.80at 0.100U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 07:16 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 05-19 18:07 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 05-13 12:57 | Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.98 |
| 05-13 12:55 | Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 05-13 12:52 | Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 04-12 09:25 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 03-07 15:22 | Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.10 |
| 03-07 15:21 | Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.10 |
| 03-05 19:34 | Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.24 |
| 02-12 20:15 | Will Jurassic World Rebirth win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.22 |
| 02-09 11:08 | Will Jurassic World Rebirth win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.011 | $1.07 |
| 02-08 19:25 | Will United Arab Emirates record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.048 | $1.58 |
| 02-07 12:54 | Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 02-07 12:48 | Will Jurassic World Rebirth win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.07 |
| 02-06 21:32 | Will Puerto Rico record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.39 |