vitalikbt
0xd5621d1d7b5e53b6b5a3d6d2b79dc3d1358f6912
- Realised P&L
- $-486.03
- Volume
- $110.8k
- Markets traded
- 7,505
- Open portfolio
- $7.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,505
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$197.40at 0.012Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
- +$150.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
- +$100.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
- +$50.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
- +$47.22at 0.056Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 09:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999896 | $1.10 |
| 10-28 09:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1009999917 | $1.10 |
| 10-28 09:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999386 | $1.10 |
| 10-28 07:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999739 | $1.10 |
| 10-28 03:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.10 |
| 10-28 02:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.10 |
| 10-28 02:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999578 | $1.10 |
| 10-28 01:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.10 |
| 10-28 00:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8099999926 | $1.10 |
| 10-28 00:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $1.10 |
| 10-28 00:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6999998727 | $1.10 |
| 10-27 23:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.10 |
| 10-27 22:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999739 | $1.10 |
| 10-27 22:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999389 | $1.10 |
| 10-27 21:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.10 |