vitalikbt
0xd5621d1d7b5e53b6b5a3d6d2b79dc3d1358f6912
- Realised P&L
- $-247.87
- Volume
- $107.2k
- Markets traded
- 6,791
- Open portfolio
- $8.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,791
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration3.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$197.40at 0.012Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
- +$150.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
- +$100.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
- +$50.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
- +$45.00at 0.100Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 00:09 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $2.99 |
| 09-09 19:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-09 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $2.99 |
| 09-09 19:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5486918605 | $3.02 |
| 09-09 15:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999137 | $2.54 |
| 09-09 14:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-09 12:44 | XRP Up or Down - September 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-09 12:34 | XRP Up or Down - September 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $0.01 |
| 09-09 09:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $2.99 |
| 09-09 09:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-09 09:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $2.99 |
| 09-09 09:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-09 09:49 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $2.97 |
| 09-09 09:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $2.99 |
| 09-09 09:44 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |