0xd5605351acdee2bfd47074e97ae66518ea0583bb
- Realised P&L
- $11.89
- Volume
- $139.14
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $15.26
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.210 | 0.390 | $2.82 | +$1.30 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.994 | $2.52 | +$1.00 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.650 | $2.30 | +$0.78 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.490 | 0.730 | $2.26 | +$0.74 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.280 | $1.93 | +$0.41 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.920 | $1.92 | +$0.40 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.745 | $1.51 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.28at 0.268Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$3.50at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.80at 0.358Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$2.15at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.93at 0.440US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:09 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.52 |
| 09-14 23:17 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999971 | $1.52 |
| 09-14 15:04 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999661 | $1.52 |
| 09-14 06:50 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999232 | $1.52 |
| 09-14 06:46 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.489999971 | $1.52 |
| 09-13 22:18 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999779 | $1.52 |
| 09-13 00:20 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.7299999232 | $1.52 |
| 09-11 15:28 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.7799999795 | $1.52 |
| 09-11 03:39 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998926 | $1.52 |
| 09-10 18:09 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.2999999803 | $1.52 |
| 09-10 08:14 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999971 | $1.52 |
| 09-09 20:11 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.6999999079 | $1.52 |
| 09-09 20:08 | Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.5399999645 | $1.52 |
| 09-09 12:06 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.8199999461 | $1.52 |
| 09-09 03:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.4399999305 | $1.52 |