Pokadur
0xd55c1a932c95ab20edfe23d359244dc55e38935d
- Realised P&L
- $-11.0k
- Volume
- $163.9k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No | 0.513 | 0.900 | $2.0k | +$872.68 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.003 | $46.22 | −$1.8k |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes | 0.145 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$800.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.0k |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million? · No | 0.629 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.0k |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million? · No | 0.862 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.7k |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026? · No | 0.517 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.0kat 0.682Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$3.7kat 0.621US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$3.0kat 0.621Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$1.0kat 0.664Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$473.65at 0.808US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:14 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | BUY | 0.2473164679 | $2.0k |
| 01-31 14:14 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | SELL | 0.8155270861 | $2.5k |
| 01-31 13:40 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.620756073 | $6.0k |
| 01-31 13:33 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.6645817042 | $2.0k |
| 01-31 13:24 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1069572507 | $4.0k |
| 01-31 13:23 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0861118892 | $2.0k |
| 01-31 10:59 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5171402258 | $300.00 |
| 01-31 10:45 | US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31? | BUY | 0.8085210227 | $2.0k |
| 01-31 10:40 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | BUY | 0.8268530367 | $2.5k |
| 01-31 10:36 | Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.8463265781 | $1000.00 |
| 01-12 10:48 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million? | BUY | 0.8455452387 | $1.2k |
| 01-12 10:39 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5134179727 | $1.2k |
| 01-09 14:30 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million? | BUY | 0.6058745696 | $2.0k |
| 01-09 07:10 | Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $900.00 |
| 01-09 07:10 | Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1138478158 | $900.00 |