PolyBot

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Traders

Nathaniaho

0xd54dac1e826467bfb1113e139eb72a0706449fd6

Realised P&L
$-18.89
Volume
$11.4k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$6.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)15.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 20? · No0.9960.997$6.01+$0.01
Cavaliers vs. Hornets · Hornets0.4300.000$0.00$9.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 09:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 20?BUY0.996$6.00
04-29 06:00Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 29?BUY0.999$7.41
04-23 05:23Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 April 20-26?BUY0.997$7.35
04-23 05:18Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.991$5.39
03-23 07:51Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.991$5.40
01-22 08:10Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?SELL0.992$346.95
01-22 05:36Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?BUY0.995$348.01
01-22 05:32Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.996$319.13
01-22 02:40Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.9979999989$319.77
01-21 08:04Cavaliers vs. HornetsBUY0.4299999887$9.15
01-21 07:55Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?SELL0.9894737089$316.32
01-21 05:20Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?BUY0.997$318.74
01-21 05:18Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.989$363.29
01-21 01:57Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.991$364.03
01-20 08:38Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?SELL0.997$353.79