nik789
0xd5490e3010aeb820334164ed2633a4e91da8dfaa
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $155.7k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $222.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.044 | $117.09 | −$102.28 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.035 | $49.98 | −$80.41 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.018 | $25.42 | −$45.35 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.029 | $14.32 | −$30.91 |
| Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.002 | $10.86 | −$346.03 |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.002 | $5.27 | −$168.01 |
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$205.41 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$155.96 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-16.86at 0.278Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- +$-61.71at 0.082Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:26 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $8.93 |
| 09-17 12:25 | Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.08 |
| 09-17 12:25 | Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $5.12 |
| 09-15 11:46 | Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.008307109 | $30.03 |
| 09-15 11:45 | Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0100634821 | $16.01 |
| 08-25 10:48 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.032 | $8.72 |
| 08-25 10:07 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.032 | $34.90 |
| 08-25 10:06 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.033 | $40.58 |
| 08-25 10:06 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0340591209 | $4.85 |
| 08-25 10:01 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.019 | $93.69 |
| 08-21 09:57 | Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.045 | $11.02 |
| 08-21 09:57 | Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.044 | $23.79 |
| 08-20 10:16 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.021 | $49.64 |
| 08-20 10:15 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $10.52 |
| 08-12 14:56 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $116.03 |