PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nik789

0xd5490e3010aeb820334164ed2633a4e91da8dfaa

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$155.7k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$222.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0830.044$117.09$102.28
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.035$49.98$80.41
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0510.018$25.42$45.35
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.029$14.32$30.91
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0490.002$10.86$346.03
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0490.002$5.27$168.01
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$205.41
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$155.96
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No0.0010.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 12:26Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?SELL0.001$8.93
09-17 12:25Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?SELL0.001$5.08
09-17 12:25Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?SELL0.002$5.12
09-15 11:46Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?SELL0.008307109$30.03
09-15 11:45Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0100634821$16.01
08-25 10:48Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?SELL0.032$8.72
08-25 10:07Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?SELL0.032$34.90
08-25 10:06Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?SELL0.033$40.58
08-25 10:06Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0340591209$4.85
08-25 10:01Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?SELL0.019$93.69
08-21 09:57Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.045$11.02
08-21 09:57Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.044$23.79
08-20 10:16Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.021$49.64
08-20 10:15Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.02$10.52
08-12 14:56Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?SELL0.01$116.03