0xd546128892B72734b325EA105a08Eb09d41f657b-1780845775836
0xd546128892b72734b325ea105a08eb09d41f657b
- Realised P&L
- $-13.5k
- Volume
- $889.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,121
- Open portfolio
- $0.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,121
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: France (-1.5) · France | 0.034 | 0.001 | $0.44 | −$29.56 |
| Will Botswana win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.001 | $0.18 | −$26.15 |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-09-08? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) · Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$81.00 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Royan: Leo Raquillet vs Pavel Kotov · Pavel Kotov | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.47 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Adrian Mannarino vs Titouan Droguet · Titouan Droguet | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Patrick Kypson vs Mackenzie McDonald · Mackenzie McDonald | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Club Atletico Los Andes win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.98 |
| Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-09-07? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.00 |
| Asuncion 2: Ignacio Monzon vs Juan Manuel La Serna · Ignacio Monzon | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$136.72 |
| Nottingham 2: Rei Sakamoto vs Yibing Wu · Rei Sakamoto | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Swedish Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Stefano Travaglia · Stefano Travaglia | 0.084 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.040Spread: Norway (-1.5)
- +$1.0kat 0.051Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$975.54at 0.099Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana Shnaider
- +$900.29at 0.110Royan: Philip Henning vs Gerard Campana Lee
- +$837.36at 0.072Will Granada CF win on 2026-08-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 20:34 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.034 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 19:25 | Spread: CD Leganés (-1.5) | BUY | 0.021 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 19:25 | Will CD Leganés win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.09 | $35.00 |
| 09-28 19:21 | Will Botswana win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.0729999999 | $26.33 |
| 09-28 19:15 | Will Türkiye vs. Italy end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0386805374 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 19:15 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.0107970161 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 19:08 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.04 | $35.00 |
| 09-28 18:56 | Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 18:24 | Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1399999996 | $40.97 |
| 09-27 20:30 | Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $15.00 |
| 09-27 20:30 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.28 |
| 09-27 19:54 | Will Israel vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.019 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 19:54 | Will Israel win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.0064786421 | $15.00 |
| 09-27 19:02 | Will Israel win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.05 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 19:00 | Spread: Israel (-1.5) | BUY | 0.0765957444 | $20.00 |