vc4ls7vdhvha
0xd535c19d608e5daa38abfeb763e8e7371b0eeff4
- Realised P&L
- $47.22
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $1.18
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.075 | $1.18 | +$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.09at 0.057Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$8.03at 0.124Will FC Metaloglobus București win on 2026-05-18?
- +$2.62at 0.665Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$2.47at 0.436Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?
- +$2.19at 0.116Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 04:21 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $1.05 |
| 08-15 16:59 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week? | BUY | 0.3399998084 | $1.10 |
| 08-15 16:23 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.16 |
| 08-15 15:45 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $0.06 |
| 08-03 13:50 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%? | BUY | 0.1619998875 | $1.10 |
| 08-03 12:04 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.20 |
| 07-21 18:57 | Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.069999944 | $1.10 |
| 07-21 17:26 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.28 |
| 06-23 08:04 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699998257 | $1.10 |
| 06-23 02:35 | Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.10 |
| 06-22 20:14 | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? | SELL | 0.964 | $3.28 |
| 06-17 19:15 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | BUY | 0.3899998972 | $1.10 |
| 06-17 19:08 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | BUY | 0.2999998636 | $1.10 |
| 06-17 16:09 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.70 |
| 06-17 02:33 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $0.01 |