PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

flowfever

0xd534dd82985da702d13e601fcc6421e5a6525fd9

Realised P&L
$-182.70
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$208.92

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7170.785$96.37+$8.37
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 23, 2026? · No0.6520.740$47.67+$5.67
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? · No0.6520.371$39.46$29.86
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8150.205$25.42$75.66
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$135.00
Will Russia join the Board of Peace? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$155.00
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$89.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 10:07Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 23, 2026?BUY0.6519668211$42.00
09-14 10:06Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7168393883$88.00
08-24 01:51US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?BUY0.37$74.00
07-30 05:45Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.815043458$101.08
06-30 15:27Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?BUY0.6125850102$62.63
06-30 15:26Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?SELL0.618$43.26
06-30 15:24Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?SELL0.04050525$4.86
06-04 13:21Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?BUY0.6699999994$135.00
05-16 14:26Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?BUY0.6525853685$115.00
04-18 14:44Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?BUY0.6234326803$126.00
03-15 18:49Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?BUY0.7$143.85
01-23 07:21Will Russia join the Board of Peace?BUY0.4799999994$155.00