PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd52ef5565367e81f46001206fa0259ba8b43852c

Realised P&L
$-1.62
Volume
$108.14
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$8.62

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? · No0.8000.998$2.63+$0.52
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? · Yes0.7801.000$2.17+$0.48
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference? · No0.7300.715$1.26$0.03
Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.3300.325$1.05$0.02
Will Warsh say "Luck" or "Lucky" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.4200.370$0.88$0.12
Will Warsh say "Echo" during September Press Conference? · No0.7400.465$0.63$0.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-05 15:41Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?BUY0.229999933$2.06
05-05 15:36Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?BUY0.3099998956$2.02
04-27 10:05Will Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?BUY0.4699999317$2.34
04-24 09:36Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?BUY0.2960950612$1.76
04-22 08:24Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)BUY0.4599999719$2.19
04-21 00:38Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.2399998782$1.24
04-19 08:10Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.34$1.70
04-18 10:55Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 on April 20?BUY0.3899999106$2.28
04-18 10:50Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on April 20?BUY0.4$2.25
04-17 19:06Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on April 17?BUY0.3799999339$2.19
04-13 08:26Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 14, 2026?BUY0.44$2.20
04-12 15:41Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?BUY0.2146121866$2.39
04-10 13:00Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Trump" 10+ times during NYC rally?BUY0.25$2.15
04-07 13:27Will Trump say "Greenland" during events with Rutte?BUY0.4599999719$2.29
04-07 13:19Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events with Rutte?BUY0.2999999109$2.02