0xD529788C36e543DF8371B8509CdA3e47dC64a503-1778260638557
0xd529788c36e543df8371b8509cda3e47dc64a503
- Realised P&L
- $-6.00
- Volume
- $251.76
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $16.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.845 | $16.21 | +$2.21 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.18at 0.750Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$4.71at 0.680Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
- +$2.05at 0.830Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.88at 0.874Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?
- +$1.27at 0.880Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 12:53 | Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | BUY | 0.7299999932 | $14.00 |
| 07-02 01:21 | Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections? | BUY | 0.873929545 | $13.00 |
| 06-20 13:23 | Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 21:13 | Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 21:12 | Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.7 | $9.86 |
| 06-17 12:21 | Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 21:32 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.589999994 | $25.78 |
| 06-13 21:27 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.982 | $26.14 |
| 06-04 12:16 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.75 | $19.97 |
| 06-02 18:07 | Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.9009999931 | $10.00 |
| 05-10 17:08 | Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 05-10 11:21 | Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.92 | $9.78 |
| 05-09 19:35 | Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9399999774 | $10.00 |
| 05-09 10:02 | Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives? | SELL | 0.992 | $11.27 |
| 05-08 18:16 | Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |