PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

only-no

0xd5203cee3604d7fe99d988d762302670ea5b3040

Realised P&L
$-50.74
Volume
$44.1k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8540.879$949.92+$27.11
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%? · No0.8300.885$531.00+$33.21
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia? · Yes0.9400.970$485.00+$15.18
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba? · No0.9310.983$324.65+$17.02
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%? · No0.8330.850$303.54+$6.06
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão? · Yes0.9300.975$195.00+$9.00
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão? · No0.9300.973$194.60+$8.60
Will Remo be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A? · Yes0.9000.974$155.76+$11.76
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? · Yes0.8300.868$86.74+$3.75
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba? · Yes0.9300.985$85.35+$4.72
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%? · No0.8200.735$71.64−$8.28
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? · Yes0.8000.865$25.95+$1.95
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-10? · No0.3301.000$7.46+$5.00
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? · Yes0.2500.265$1.49+$0.08
Will Juventude win Brazil Série B? · Yes0.1500.395$0.41+$0.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 18:11Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia?BUY0.939634$469.82
10-08 17:40Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?BUY0.855953$171.19
10-08 17:19Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?BUY0.81649$326.60
10-08 16:31Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?BUY0.82$79.93
10-08 16:31Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?BUY0.7964798599$45.48
10-06 03:17Will Remo be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?BUY0.9$144.00
10-05 17:01Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?BUY0.969$48.25
10-05 16:59Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?BUY0.96896375$2.3k
10-05 16:57Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?BUY0.960922031$66.43
10-05 16:55Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?BUY0.95992505$191.99
10-05 02:31Will Marina JHC win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?BUY0.98$19.60
10-05 02:29Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?BUY0.98$31.36
10-05 02:15Will Teresa Surita win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?BUY0.9776923077$25.42
10-05 02:09Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?BUY0.979512336$18.66
10-05 02:07Will Lahesio Bonfim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?BUY0.98$27.91